Options Alert: New Highs Coming for Microsoft?

bull_datacenter.png

Microsoft's AI story might be coming together, and one big options trader is positioning for more upside.

This large transaction was detected yesterday morning in the software giant:

  • 29,736 September 525 calls were purchased for $10.56.
  • 29,736 September 570 calls were sold for $2.58.

The trades occurred at the same time in equal-sized blocks and volume was more than 15 times open interest in both strikes. That suggests new positions were implemented.

Calls fix the price where a security can be purchased. They can appreciate when shares gain value and expire worthless if the stock doesn't climb enough. Thursday's position was apparently a vertical spread, which involves selling one contract to reduce the cost of owning another.

The strategy cost $7.98 and could expand to $45 if the stock closes at $570 or higher on expiration. That's a potential gain of 464 percent from the shares appreciating 15 percent.

MSFT rose 2.6 percent to $499.97 yesterday. It's been consolidating after quarterly results triggered a historic rally on July 30.

MSFT_20260806b.jpg
Microsoft (MSFT), daily chart, with cited levels marked.

The reported not only better-than-expected earnings, revenue and guidance. Azure's growth also validated aggressive capital spending and Copilot's surge in usage suggested the company may be on the verge of monetizing agentic AI. 

Interestingly, MSFT has never traded above $556. So Thursday's option trader seems to think the fundamental improvement could trigger a breakout to new all-time highs before the third Friday of next month.

Overall option volume was about average in the name, according to TradeStation data. Calls accounted for a bullish 71 percent of the total.


Performance data shown reflects past performance and is no guarantee of future performance. The information provided is not meant to predict or project the performance of a specific investment or investment strategy and current performance may be lower or higher than the performance data shown. Accordingly, this information should not be relied upon when making an investment decision. 

Options trading is not suitable for all investors. Your TradeStation Securities’ account application to trade options will be considered and approved or disapproved based on all relevant factors, including your trading experience. See www.TradeStation.com/DisclosureOptions. Visit www.TradeStation.com/Pricing for full details on the costs and fees associated with options.

Margin trading involves risks, and it is important that you fully understand those risks before trading on margin. The Margin Disclosure Statement outlines many of those risks, including that you can lose more funds than you deposit in your margin account; your brokerage firm can force the sale of securities in your account; your brokerage firm can sell your securities without contacting you; and you are not entitled to an extension of time on a margin call. Review the Margin Disclosure Statement at www.TradeStation.com/DisclosureMargin.

Share:
headshot-David Russell A7R00277-sept-2025 (1).jpg

About the author

David Russell

David Russell is Global Head of Market Strategy at TradeStation. Drawing on more than two decades of experience as a financial journalist and analyst, his background includes equities, emerging markets, fixed-income and derivatives. He previously worked at Bloomberg News, CNBC and E*TRADE Financial. Russell systematically reviews countless global financial headlines and indicators in search of broad tradable trends that present opportunities repeatedly over time. Customers can expect him to keep them apprised of sector leadership, relative strength and the big stories – especially those overlooked by other commentators. He’s also a big fan of generating leverage with options to limit capital at risk.
Show more

Related articles

Market Insights, Insights AI, and all related pages and content are hosted by TradeStation Group, Inc.

Client Support Icon
Chat Offline