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Economy
Naysayers Hapless as Worst-Case Scenarios Prove Elusive

Naysayers Hapless as Worst-Case Scenarios Prove Elusive

It's hard being a stock bear now because worst-case scenarios are simply not panning out. Take the economy. It was supposed to slow down because of trade wars and the fading "sugar high" from President Trump's tax cuts. On Wednesday, that had Federal Reserve...

‘Weak Dollar’ Trades Appear Before Powell and the Fed

‘Weak Dollar’ Trades Appear Before Powell and the Fed

The market's embracing a "weak dollar" sentiment, looking for more easy money from Jerome Powell's Federal Reserve tomorrow. Copper (@HG), crude oil (@CL), silver (@SI) and gold (@GC) rallied earlier this morning before giving up some gains. Exchange-traded funds...

S&P 500 Isn’t the Only Chart Hitting New Highs for 2019

S&P 500 Isn’t the Only Chart Hitting New Highs for 2019

Stock indexes, along with crude oil, just closed at their highest levels of the year. Is it the top, or the start of another rally as fear leaves the market? Let's review some of the key points with equities in the midst of their third straight winning month. One big...

Mr. Powell and the Punch Bowl

Mr. Powell and the Punch Bowl

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will answer a lot of questions in the Senate this week. But they all come down to one issue: Will he take away the punch bowl, or fill it up? If you don't know the lingo, we're talking about interest rates. The old saying is that...

Are Inflation Stars Lining Up for Leisure Stocks?

Are Inflation Stars Lining Up for Leisure Stocks?

Something unusual is happening with prices, and it's become good news for certain companies this year. Inflation data from the government shows the price of services rose 2.7 percent year over year in January, while commodities had their first drop since November...

Suddenly, People Are Worried About a Slowdown

Suddenly, People Are Worried About a Slowdown

The U.S. economy has been resilient, but recent events have raised worries about a slowdown. Let's review some of the new forces at work. The first potential concern is that two leading indicators have worsened sharply in the last two weeks: initial jobless claims and...

Good News Still Coming for the U.S. Economy

Good News Still Coming for the U.S. Economy

Some big reports last week showed widening improvements for the U.S. economy. In case you missed them, let's take a look at the big themes. First, employment growth continued unabated. ADP's private-sector payrolls and the Labor Department's non-farm payrolls both...

Dollar Slides with Doves Ruling the Roost at the Fed

Dollar Slides with Doves Ruling the Roost at the Fed

Hawks at the Federal Reserve keep morphing into doves, hammering the greenback. Several comments from the central bank yesterday expressed a cautious view of interest rates. It started with Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic, who warned that economic fears have...

Double Dose of Good News for Economy as 2019 Begins

Double Dose of Good News for Economy as 2019 Begins

The U.S. economy has gotten a double dose of good news as 2019 gets underway. Non-farm payrolls had their biggest gain in 10 months, almost doubling forecasters' expectations. But that's not all. The October and November totals were also revised up by 58,000....