Bitcoin Breaks Out as Market Prepares for More Easy Money from the Federal Reserve

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Bitcoin Breaks Out With More Stimulus Expected from the Federal Reserve

Bitcoin broke above $20,000 today for the first time ever, hours before the Federal Reserve readies another dose of monetary stimulus for a struggling economy.

TradeStation data shows prices crossing that key line at 8:43 a.m. ET today. It was just one day less than the three-year mark from the previous peak of $19,666 on December 17, 2017.

Cryptocurrencies have gained significant acceptance in that time period. Here’s a quick list:

  • 10/8: Square (SQ) buys $50 million of Bitcoin told hold as an asset, just as a firm carries cash or bonds on their balance sheet.
  • 10/21: PayPal (PYPL) lets users buy and sell cryptocurrencies directly.
  • 11/13: SkyBridge Capital looks to invest in companies involved in cryptocurrencies.
  • 11/15: Citi predicts Bitcoin may reach $318,000 by December 2021.
  • 11/19: US Securities and Exchange Commission Chair Jay Clayton recognizes Bitcoin as a “store of value.”
  • 11/20: Rick Rieder, Chief Investment Officer at asset manager Blackrock (BLK), says Bitcoin could replace gold. Why? because it’s easier to deal with than a physical metal.
  • 11/24: Pantera Capital reports that SQ and PYPL clients are buying most of the new supply of Bitcoin.
  • 11/30: BTIG sees Bitcoin at $50,000 by the end of 2021, citing “accelerated adoption.”
  • 12/9: JPMorgan says institutional investors are shifting from gold to Bitcoin as a store of value.
Bitcoin, daily chart, showing new highs.

Bitcoin and the Fed

Another major story is the Federal Reserve, which is meeting today. For years, investors have bought assets like gold and silver when the central bank lowers interest rates. The reason is that lower rates tends to weaken the dollar and increase demand for hard assets. The Fed can create more dollars, but not more physical metal — or so the argument goes.

However, the supply of precious metals can still increase. Miners can extract more from the earth, and countries can sell reserves.

Bitcoin, on the other hand, is a truly finite asset because no more than 21 million coins can ever exist. The blockchain also features “halving” events to reduce new supply as time passes. That makes it the opposite of fiat currencies, which often see inflation as politicians increase spending and central banks print money.

This could focus attention on Bitcoin today with the Fed issuing a policy statement at 2 p.m. ET and Chairman Jerome Powell holding a press conference 30 minutes later. Most economists expect the central bank to pump more money into the economy via bond purchases. Powell could also reiterate his long-term plan to let inflation heat up before cutting rates. Both of those stances would likely please Bitcoin enthusiasts

In conclusion, it’s a historic day as Bitcoin breaks $20,000. Several other positives have also lined up in recent months. Today’s Fed meeting could show whether cryptocurrencies are ready to go to the next level.

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David Russell is VP of Market Intelligence at TradeStation Group. Drawing on nearly two decades of experience as a financial journalist and analyst, his background includes equities, emerging markets, fixed-income and derivatives. He previously worked at Bloomberg News, CNBC and E*TRADE Financial. Russell systematically reviews countless global financial headlines and indicators in search of broad tradable trends that present opportunities repeatedly over time. Customers can expect him to keep them appraised of sector leadership, relative strength and the big stories – especially those overlooked by other commentators. He’s also a big fan of generating leverage with options to limit capital at risk.