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Sizing Up the S&P 500
- Bearish outside day and doji candlestick
- Potentially overbought, according to Keltner Pullback custom indicator
- S&P 500 rose for 5 straight sessions, longest streak since November 2021
- RSI hits overbought for 1st time since August
- NAAIM survey +36 pts, biggest gain since April 7 2021
- Mirrors big increase AAI survey the prior week
- Most new 52-week highs since April 2022
- Longer-term moving averages may limit pullbacks
Key News
- Fed pauses but signals 2 more hikes: “Hawkish pause”
- Powell sees progress: slower GDP growth, labor market loosening, supply-chain improvements
- “Conditions that we need to see in place to bring inflation down are coming into place […] but the process […] is going to take some time.”
- Inflation cools:
- CPI hits 26-month low of 4% y-o-y.
- PPI +1.1% vs +1.5% estimate
- China PPI -4.6%, biggest drop since May 2016
- Goldman Cuts oil outlook by 9.5% as Russia, Iran supply more
- Goldman sees L-shaped recovery in Chinese real estate
- CNBC: Economists expect housing inflation to slow sharply amid data quirks
Company News
- Advanced Micro Devices (AMD): New AI-focused chip coming in Q3
- Catalent (CTLT) rebounds after earnings, revenue beat
- Carnival (CCL), Norwegian Cruise Lines (NCLH) and Royal Caribbean (RCL) jump after JPMorgan sees bookings improve
- Oracle (ORCL): Earnings, revenue beat
- Health insurers drop on unexpected surgery surge
- Lennar (LEN): Earnings Revenue beat
Mover of the Week: Yext
- Earnings, revenue, guidance beat forecasts on June 6
- Content-customization software with AI features
- Little changed since April 2017 IPO
- YEXT +101% YTD
Upcoming Events
- This afternoon: Adobe (ADBE) earnings
- Friday 6/16: Quad witching, consumer sentiment
- Monday 6/19: Juneteenth market holiday
- Tuesday 6/20: Housing starts, building permits, FedEx (FDX) earnings
- Thursday 6/22: Jobless claims, existing home sales
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