{"id":62889,"date":"2025-01-13T00:00:30","date_gmt":"2025-01-13T05:00:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tradestation.com\/insights\/?p=62889"},"modified":"2025-01-13T09:54:19","modified_gmt":"2025-01-13T14:54:19","slug":"hawkish-news-slamming-stock-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tradestation.com\/insights\/2025\/01\/13\/hawkish-news-slamming-stock-market\/","title":{"rendered":"Hawkish News Is Slamming the Stock Market"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Stocks keep falling as hawkish news and rising yields hammer sentiment.<\/p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 declined 1.9 percent between Friday, January 3, and Friday, January 10. (There were only four sessions because of former President Jimmy Carter&#8217;s memorial.) It was the fourth drop in the last five weeks, with three-quarters of the index&#8217;s members losing value. Some chart watchers may fear the S&amp;P is at risk of breaking important support. (See below for more.)<\/p>\n<p>The selloff occurred as Treasury yields rose in response to several economic events:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook started the week by saying policymakers can &#8220;proceed more cautiously with further rate cuts.&#8221;<\/li>\n<li>Other officials echoed her views. Susan Collins of the Boston Fed called for a &#8220;gradual and patient approach to policymaking.&#8221; Governor Michelle Bowman was more decisive, calling December&#8217;s rate cut a &#8220;final step.&#8221; She added that inflation is &#8220;uncomfortably above&#8221; 2 percent.<\/li>\n<li>Two reports from the Institute for Supply Management showed jumps in price indexes.<\/li>\n<li>Job openings in November unexpectedly rose.<\/li>\n<li>Initial jobless claims unexpectedly fell to an 11-month low.<\/li>\n<li>The big event came on Friday, when non-farm payrolls jumped more than forecast to their highest level since March. Unemployment surprised to the downside, suggesting the labor market is healthy.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div id=\"attachment_62911\" style=\"width: 1034px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-62911\" class=\"wp-image-62911 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.tradestation.com\/uploads\/sites\/2\/TNX_20250110a-1024x494.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"494\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.tradestation.com\/uploads\/sites\/2\/TNX_20250110a-1024x494.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/cdn.tradestation.com\/uploads\/sites\/2\/TNX_20250110a-300x145.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cdn.tradestation.com\/uploads\/sites\/2\/TNX_20250110a-768x370.jpg 768w, https:\/\/cdn.tradestation.com\/uploads\/sites\/2\/TNX_20250110a-1536x741.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/cdn.tradestation.com\/uploads\/sites\/2\/TNX_20250110a-1080x521.jpg 1080w, https:\/\/cdn.tradestation.com\/uploads\/sites\/2\/TNX_20250110a.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-62911\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><em>10-year Treasury yield index ($TNX.X), weekly chart, showing key levels.<\/em><\/p><\/div>\n<p>Those headlines sent the yield on the 10-year Treasury to its highest level since November 2023. That was a key moment in the past when the Fed turned dovish and the stock market began a rally to new highs. Has more than a year of optimism about inflation and interest rates ended?<\/p>\n<h2>Tech Reverses<\/h2>\n<p>Technology stocks started last week on a positive note but failed to hold. Nvidia (NVDA) dropped almost 6 percent after briefly hitting a new record high. CEO Jensen Huang also made negative comments about the commercial prospects of quantum computing. That triggered big selling in stocks like Rigetti Computing (RGTI) and IonQ (IONQ), which have been some of the strongest performers in recent months.<\/p>\n<table class=\" alignright\" style=\"width: 37.3819%; border-collapse: collapse; height: 213px;\">\n<caption><strong>Biggest Gainers in the S&amp;P 500 Last Week<\/strong><\/caption>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"width: 75.2261%;\">Walgreen Boots Alliance (WBA)<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 24.7739%;\">+24%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"width: 75.2261%;\">Constellation Energy (CEG)<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 24.7739%;\">+21%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"width: 75.2261%;\">Delta Airlines (DAL)<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 24.7739%;\">+13%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"width: 75.2261%;\">United Airlines (UAL)<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 24.7739%;\">+12%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"width: 75.2261%;\">Micron Technology (MU)<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 24.7739%;\">+11%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"width: 75.2261%;\" colspan=\"2\"><em>Source: TradeStation Data<\/em><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Palantir (PLTR), another high-flier in tech, also had its biggest weekly drop in almost two years. Are investors losing enthusiasm toward the boom in AI?<\/p>\n<p>Chinese stocks also tumbled last week as the giant Asian country struggles with deflation and a potential banking crisis.<\/p>\n<p>Real estate investment trusts were the single worst-performing sector. Banks, biotechnology and small caps also fell. All those groups are sensitive to higher interest rates.<\/p>\n<p>Energy performed the best as traders braced for the Biden Administration to\u00a0tighten sanctions on Russian oil. Gold bounced after holding $2,600. Is the precious metal stabilizing after a two-month pullback? Airlines also rallied after Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat estimates and issued strong guidance.<\/p>\n<p>Walgreen Boots (WBA) had its biggest weekly rally in at least 50 years on signs of a potential turnaround. Constellation Energy (CEG) jumped after agreeing to buy Calpine for $16 billion. The deal will make CEG the biggest U.S. power generator, according to Reuters.<\/p>\n<p>California utilities Edison (EIX) and Pacific Gas &amp; Electric (PCG) dropped as wildfires swept the Los Angeles area. Constellation Brands (STZ) had its worst week since the pandemic amid weak demand for Corona and Modelo beer.<\/p>\n<h2>Charting the Market<\/h2>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 touched 5,807 last week, its lowest level since the election. The index bounced around its current levels in November and December, which could make traders worry about more selling if support gives way.<\/p>\n<table class=\" alignright\" style=\"width: 36.2182%; border-collapse: collapse; height: 194px;\">\n<caption><strong>Biggest Decliners in the S&amp;P 500 Last Week<\/strong><\/caption>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"width: 78.981%;\">Edison International (EIX)<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 21.019%;\">-19%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"width: 78.981%;\">Constellation Brands (STZ)<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 21.019%;\">-18%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"width: 78.981%;\">Pacific Gas &amp; Electric (PCG)<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 21.019%;\">-16%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"width: 78.981%;\">Palantir Technologies (PLTR)<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 21.019%;\">-16%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"width: 78.981%;\">On Semiconductor (ON)<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 21.019%;\">-16%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"width: 100%;\" colspan=\"2\"><em>Source: TradeStation Data<\/em><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>The index also probed above its earlier high before dropping. The resulting bearish outside week is a potential reversal pattern.<\/p>\n<p>Other indicators may reflect negative price action. Moving average convergence\/divergence (MACD) has been dropping and the index has remained mostly below its 50-day moving average.\u00a0 Last week&#8217;s close was also under the low of Christmas week.<\/p>\n<p>Internals could be deteriorating as well: Just 235 members of the S&amp;P 500 are now above their 200-day moving averages, according to TradeStation data. That&#8217;s the fewest since November 2023. The number above their 50-day MAs (79) was the least since October 2023. In addition, new 52-week lows have mostly outnumbered new 52-week highs over the last month.<\/p>\n<p>The 10-year Treasury yield will likely remain a big worry for investors. While it ended last week above its high from April, it&#8217;s still about 20 basis points below its late 2023 peak near 5 percent. Attention may also focus on the U.S. dollar index, which is back to levels from more than two years ago. Upside in both yields and the greenback typically hurt risk appetite. Both could remain important with big inflation data tomorrow and Wednesday.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_62900\" style=\"width: 1034px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-62900\" class=\"wp-image-62900 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.tradestation.com\/uploads\/sites\/2\/SPY_20250110-1024x494.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"494\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.tradestation.com\/uploads\/sites\/2\/SPY_20250110-1024x494.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/cdn.tradestation.com\/uploads\/sites\/2\/SPY_20250110-300x145.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cdn.tradestation.com\/uploads\/sites\/2\/SPY_20250110-768x370.jpg 768w, https:\/\/cdn.tradestation.com\/uploads\/sites\/2\/SPY_20250110-1536x741.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/cdn.tradestation.com\/uploads\/sites\/2\/SPY_20250110-1080x521.jpg 1080w, https:\/\/cdn.tradestation.com\/uploads\/sites\/2\/SPY_20250110.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-62900\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><em>SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF (SPY) with select technical events and indicators.<\/em><\/p><\/div>\n<h2>The Week Ahead<\/h2>\n<p>This week brings key economic data and the start of earnings season. J.P. Morgan also holds a major healthcare conference, which could impact companies in the sector.<\/p>\n<p>The producer price index (PPI) is tomorrow morning. It&#8217;s followed by the consumer price index (CPI) on Wednesday. Either could impact interest rates, stocks and expectations about Fed policy.<\/p>\n<p>Wednesday additionally features crude-oil inventories and the first big set of quarterly results from major financials like JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Citi (C), Wells Fargo (WFC) and Goldman Sachs (GS) .<\/p>\n<p>Thursday brings initial jobless claims and retail sales, which cover the holiday-shopping season. Bank of America (BAC), Morgan Stanley (MS) and UnitedHealth (UHS) are some of the big earnings reports.<\/p>\n<p>Housing starts and building permits are on Friday morning, along with results from Schlumberger (SLB).<\/p>\n<p>There&#8217;s also a three-day weekend because markets are closed on January 20 for Martin Luther King Jr. Day.<\/p>\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\" \/>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<table style=\"width: 52.0541%; height: 72px;\" border=\"1\">\n<caption><strong>Standardized Performances for ETF mentioned above<\/strong><\/caption>\n<tbody>\n<tr style=\"height: 24px;\">\n<td style=\"width: 44.9544%; height: 24px;\"><strong>ETF<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 19.4544%; height: 24px;\"><strong>1 Year<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 19.2698%; height: 24px;\"><strong>5 Years<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 108.26%; height: 24px;\"><strong>10 Years<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 24px;\">\n<td style=\"width: 44.9544%; height: 24px;\">SPDR S&amp;P 500\u00a0ETF (SPY)<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 19.4544%; height: 24px;\">+23.30%<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 19.2698%; height: 24px;\">+82.09%<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 108.26%; height: 24px;\">+185.14%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 24px;\">\n<td style=\"width: 191.939%; height: 24px;\" colspan=\"4\"><em>As of December 31, 2024. Source: TradeStation Data<\/em><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><em>Exchange Traded Funds (\u201cETFs\u201d) are subject to management fees and other expenses. Before making investment decisions, investors should carefully read information found in the prospectus or summary prospectus, if available, including investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradestation.com\/insights\/etf-disclosures\/\">Click here<\/a>\u00a0to find the prospectus.<\/em><\/p>\n<div class=\"NoteContent clicked\">\n<div class=\"container\"><em>Performance data shown reflects past performance and is no guarantee of future performance. The information provided is not meant to predict or project the performance of a specific investment or investment strategy and current performance may be lower or higher than the performance data shown. Accordingly, this information should not be relied upon when making an investment decision.\u00a0<\/em><\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Stocks keep falling as hawkish news and rising yields hammer sentiment. The S&amp;P 500 declined 1.9 percent between Friday, January 3, and Friday, January 10. (There were only four sessions because of former President Jimmy Carter&#8217;s memorial.) It was the fourth drop in the last five weeks, with three-quarters of the index&#8217;s members losing value. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":39,"featured_media":62891,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[103,13],"tags":[1226,141,1289,174,181,723,694,1074,456,493,53],"class_list":["post-62889","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-in-review","category-stocks","tag-ceg","tag-dal","tag-eix","tag-mu","tag-nvda","tag-on","tag-pcg","tag-pltr","tag-stz","tag-ual","tag-wba","et-has-post-format-content","et_post_format-et-post-format-standard"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Hawkish News Is Slamming the Stock Market<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tradestation.com\/insights\/2025\/01\/13\/hawkish-news-slamming-stock-market\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Hawkish News Is Slamming the Stock Market\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Higher price indexes, strong job growth and tough Fed comments boosted yields. 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Drawing on more than two decades of experience as a financial journalist and analyst, his background includes equities, emerging markets, fixed-income and derivatives. He previously worked at Bloomberg News, CNBC and E*TRADE Financial. Russell systematically reviews countless global financial headlines and indicators in search of broad tradable trends that present opportunities repeatedly over time. Customers can expect him to keep them apprised of sector leadership, relative strength and the big stories \u2013 especially those overlooked by other commentators. 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Technicals and internals on the S&P 500 also showed signs of deterioration.","twitter_creator":"@TradeStation","twitter_site":"@TradeStation","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"David Russell","Est. reading time":"6 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/www.tradestation.com\/insights\/2025\/01\/13\/hawkish-news-slamming-stock-market\/","url":"https:\/\/www.tradestation.com\/insights\/2025\/01\/13\/hawkish-news-slamming-stock-market\/","name":"Hawkish News Is Slamming the Stock Market","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.tradestation.com\/insights\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.tradestation.com\/insights\/2025\/01\/13\/hawkish-news-slamming-stock-market\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.tradestation.com\/insights\/2025\/01\/13\/hawkish-news-slamming-stock-market\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/cdn.tradestation.com\/uploads\/sites\/2\/BTT-hawk_AdobeStock_98124139.jpg","datePublished":"2025-01-13T05:00:30+00:00","dateModified":"2025-01-13T14:54:19+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.tradestation.com\/insights\/#\/schema\/person\/d2279ba57f90e3b47887f2503ce142d4"},"breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.tradestation.com\/insights\/2025\/01\/13\/hawkish-news-slamming-stock-market\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/www.tradestation.com\/insights\/2025\/01\/13\/hawkish-news-slamming-stock-market\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/www.tradestation.com\/insights\/2025\/01\/13\/hawkish-news-slamming-stock-market\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/cdn.tradestation.com\/uploads\/sites\/2\/BTT-hawk_AdobeStock_98124139.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/cdn.tradestation.com\/uploads\/sites\/2\/BTT-hawk_AdobeStock_98124139.jpg","width":1920,"height":1080},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/www.tradestation.com\/insights\/2025\/01\/13\/hawkish-news-slamming-stock-market\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/www.tradestation.com\/insights\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Hawkish News Is Slamming the Stock Market"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.tradestation.com\/insights\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.tradestation.com\/insights\/","name":"Market Insights","description":"Fresh market commentary and actionable trade ideas.","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/www.tradestation.com\/insights\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/www.tradestation.com\/insights\/#\/schema\/person\/d2279ba57f90e3b47887f2503ce142d4","name":"David Russell","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/www.tradestation.com\/insights\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/443bdca82f0006231c5179581e4310ed?s=96&d=mm&r=pg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/443bdca82f0006231c5179581e4310ed?s=96&d=mm&r=pg","caption":"David Russell"},"description":"David Russell is Global Head of Market Strategy at TradeStation. Drawing on more than two decades of experience as a financial journalist and analyst, his background includes equities, emerging markets, fixed-income and derivatives. He previously worked at Bloomberg News, CNBC and E*TRADE Financial. Russell systematically reviews countless global financial headlines and indicators in search of broad tradable trends that present opportunities repeatedly over time. Customers can expect him to keep them apprised of sector leadership, relative strength and the big stories \u2013 especially those overlooked by other commentators. 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